Key Bitcoin price metric signals traders are positioned for $50K BTC

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Bitcoin (BTC) worth posted a 25% achieve after this week’s information of Tesla’s $1.5 billion BTC funding got here out. Previous to this reveal, BTC was lagging behind Ether’s (ETH) efficiency by 7.5% however the quite a few bullish occasions of the previous few days helped BTC to hit a brand new all-time excessive at $48,900.

Earlier to Tesla’s announcement, BTC worth was buying and selling within the $30,000 to $41,500 vary for practically 3 weeks and as soon as the value broke out one would count on professional merchants and arbitrage desks to comply with the bullish pattern.

Reasonably than flipping lengthy, lots of the prime merchants opened brief positions as BTC commenced its 25% transfer. This appears dangerous provided that this week Bitcoin acquired praises from JPMorgan’s co-president and regulators approve a BTC ETF approval in Canada.

Bitcoin and Ether USD costs at Bitstamp. Supply: NYDIG Digital Assets Data

Historic knowledge exhibits that Bitcoin worth actions are inclined to commerce in tandem with Ether, which has been strongly bullish for months. Including to this bullish state of affairs, Bitcoin’s Lightning Network announced a record node count and the overall worth locked (TVL) surpassed $42 million.

Mastercard also announced that it would support cryptocurrency payments on its community by the tip of 2021.

These bullish indicators distinction with the long-to-short web positioning metrics offered by main cryptocurrency exchanges.

This indicator is calculated by analyzing the consumer’s consolidated place on the spot, perpetual and futures contracts and it offers a clearer view of whether or not skilled merchants are leaning bullish or bearish.

It is very important observe that there are occasional discrepancies within the methodologies between numerous exchanges, so viewers ought to monitor adjustments as an alternative of absolute figures.

Trade’s prime merchants BTC long-to-short ratio. Supply: Bybt.com

Since Feb. 8, when the Tesla announcement happened, exchanges’ prime merchants have stored their web positions comparatively unchanged.

Earlier than Bitcoin’s 25% rally, Binance had a 1.33 ratio favoring longs, which is in step with the earlier week. This indicator peaked at 1.53 on Feb. 10, however has since then returned to 1.31.

Then again, Huobi prime merchants had a 0.74 indicator forward of Feb. 8, which remained flat for 3 days. On Feb. 11 as BTC rallied from $44,000 to $48,000, these merchants started rising web longs, reaching the present 0.80. Though this stage continues to be favoring web shorts by 20%, it stays above the 0.75 stage from Jan. 29.

Lastly, OKEx prime merchants held a 14% web lengthy place earlier than the Tesla information got here out. Though they’ve reverted to a 47% web brief place on that very same day, during the last 4 days the indicator has come again to 1.03. At the moment, OKEx merchants stay effectively beneath the 52% web lengthy place from two weeks in the past.

Staking could possibly be capturing prime merchants

Prime merchants may have additionally moved their BTC off-exchange seeking higher yield alternatives. Due to this fact, assuming that they’ve entered brief positions solely by monitoring centralized exchanges’ could possibly be a brash conclusion to achieve.

As issues at present stand, the long-to-short indicator doesn’t present excessive web lengthy positions from arbitrage desks, market makers, and whales. A balanced derivatives market means that there’s ample room for purchasing exercise if BTC continues to rally to $50,000 and above.

The views and opinions expressed listed here are solely these of the author and don’t essentially mirror the views of Cointelegraph. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes threat. You need to conduct your personal analysis when making a choice.